Wednesday, October 7, 2009
Why holding an opinion poll in Honduras was so threatening
For weeks I have been waiting for more solid data like this. I have responded to innumerable comments from people in and out of Honduras claiming that "90%" of the Honduran people are happy President Zelaya was violently removed from the country. We knew that wasn't true right after the coup, when CID Gallup polling data showed 46% of the people disapproved of the coup.
Guess what? the number is higher today. The polling, done by Consultants in Investigation of Markets and Public Opinion, authorized polling agency for the Honduran elections, was completed between August 23 and 29, and has a margin of error of +/-4%.
In response to the question, Are you in favor of the June 28 coup d’etat against President Manuel Zelaya Rosales?, 52.7% answered no; 29.9% did not answer; and only 17.4% said yes.
So: less polarized now than before, the Honduran people are decisively against the coup, and the number approving of it has declined more sharply even than the increase of those against it, compared to July's CID Gallup poll.
Go read the rest of Al Giordano's post. See how unpopular Micheletti is (hint: he did not gain in popularity from his already miserable 30%).
51% of those polled support the return of President Zelaya, and while 33% oppose it, this is far lower than the claimed overwhelming majority support cited by all those angry email writers.
Assessments of the favorable/unfavorable ratings in the same poll show President Zelaya and First Lady Xiomara Castro de Zelaya as the two most favorably judged political figures in the country.
Someone get Rep Aaron Schock, Sen Jim DeMint, and Connie Mack on the phone-- I am sure they will want to revise their mischaracterizations of Honduran popular opinion.
And meanwhile, those of us hearing every day from concerned Hondurans against the coup, and for the restoration of constitutional government, can rest assured that this is the actual majority opinion.
To the repeated question, what were the coup authors afraid of on June 28? we now have the answer: the truth.