tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2341954168256070610.post981592657061202078..comments2023-09-12T01:15:08.356-07:00Comments on Honduras Coup 2009: The State Department Muddies The WatersRAJhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00097415587406899236noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2341954168256070610.post-1653513714547764002010-01-24T22:03:23.102-08:002010-01-24T22:03:23.102-08:00Well, as far as I can tell, RNS, the major players...Well, as far as I can tell, RNS, the major players in this in descending order of importance are:<br /><br />*US<br />*IMF/World bank<br />*Regional banks<br />*Spain<br />*Brazil<br />*Everyone else<br /><br />The golpistas have the top three on board. Many other countries have said they'll play it by ear after the inauguration. So, the world community's focus on the requirement that Micheletti resign is likely to fade with time. <br /><br />My point was not what Tegucigalpa-San Jose said-- as far as I can see, it required Micheletti to step down ahead of the election, since if he failed to do so, Zelaya could refuse to cooperate with forming the unity government, creating exactly the sense of incompletion of the Accord that we see. Rather, the point was that statements that Lobo not receive power from a government headed by Micheletti as executive can easily be fuzzed up by pointing to from whom Lobo receives the sash and by Micheletti lowering his profile (with media complicity appearing to be absent). The diplomats will get it that Micheletti is sticking his finger in their eyes, but how many (wo)men in the street will? <br /><br />Obviously the question is whether they can suppress news about ongoing human rights violations. If the screams are muffled well enough, it seems likely to me that the world will forget. <br /><br />--CharlesAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2341954168256070610.post-83583308866398129852010-01-24T11:23:33.034-08:002010-01-24T11:23:33.034-08:00The specific requirement has been, and continues t...The specific requirement has been, and continues to be, that Micheletti <b>resign</b>, not just abent himself, before Lobo Sosa is sworn in. Its a question of the golpistas being the occupants of the executive power being transmitted to Lobo Sosa. <br /><br />Yes, the sash is traditionally conferred by the newly elected president of the Congress. Juan Orlando Hernandez is interesting. He supported appointing Micheletti as de facto president, voting for it, but also in late September was pushing for a national dialogue that included Zelaya and his supporters, seeing that kind of dialogue as the only way out of the crisis. He also was the avenue by which Porfirio Lobo Sosa proposed a law in Congress that was by all accounts identical to the "cuarta urna" poll, changing its name to "constituyente."<br /><br />The "mass of thanksgiving" is unprecedented, and I can only see it as thumbing his nose at Lobo Sosa, who pretty much has to grin and bear it until he's sworn in.RNShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14197289255196253989noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2341954168256070610.post-51194791756829476592010-01-23T19:33:29.729-08:002010-01-23T19:33:29.729-08:00Crimeny, Micheletti is going to go to a mass of th...Crimeny, Micheletti is going to go to a mass of thanksgiving at the Case de Gobierno which overlaps with the toma? The diplomatic angels must be doing the can-can on the proverbial pin over that one. <br /><br />As for "The majority of world governments have made it a condition of recognition that Lobo Sosa not receive power from the illegitimate and unrecognized government of Roberto Micheletti," it's not clear to me what this means. It's normally the president of Congress that passes the sash, right? That will be Juan Orlando Hernández, not a visible player in the coup, indeed, supposedly said back on 6/19/09 that Lobo had a fatal disease. <br /><br />--Charles of Mercury RisingAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com